SimpleFunctions

Will Chris Kirk finish top 10 for Charles Schwab Challenge

Chris Kirk is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.

Price history

12¢ current

+4¢
5¢10¢15¢
May 25, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Chris Kirk finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Chris Kirk

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Ludvig Aberg 43¢

Range

4¢-43¢

Family volume

$138K

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-CHSC26-CKIR

May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

12¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

12¢

Spread

24h volume

$4K

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$138K

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
11¢10K
8¢3.9K
7¢1.1K
4¢50
3¢9.7K
AskSize
12¢8.1K
13¢11K
16¢11K
17¢4.0K
18¢10K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Chris Kirk finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-CHSC26-CKIR

SF Signal
SF Index
4345.64
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9560.3%

IY (No)

146.0%

Adj IY

4346%

CRI

8

Overround

9.7%

LAS

0.09

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9560.3%
146.0%
Adj IY
4346%
8
Overround
9.7%
LAS
0.09

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.