Will Justin Thomas finish top 20 for Charles Schwab Challenge
Justin Thomas is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.
Price history
42¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Justin Thomas
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Ludvig Aberg 60¢
Range
1¢-60¢
Family volume
$223K
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-JTHO
May 28, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
41¢
Ask
42¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$14K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Family volume
$223K
Orderbook snapshot
41 / 42¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-JTHO
Event family
Charles Schwab Challenge.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$223K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ludvig Aberg 60¢
Current share
6%
Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-LABE
Russell Henley
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-RHEN
Justin Thomas
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-JTHO
Rickie Fowler
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-RFOW
Alex Smalley
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-ASMA
Hideki Matsuyama
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-HMAT
Harry Hall
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-HHAL
Akshay Bhatia
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-ABHA
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-CBEZ
Max Greyserman
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-MGRE
Mac Meissner
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-MMEI
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-SYEL
Tom Hoge
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-THOG
Vince Whaley
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-VWHA
Dylan Wu
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-DWU
Ryan Palmer
kalshi · KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-RPAL
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.