SimpleFunctions

Will Luke Clanton finish top 5 for Charles Schwab Challenge

Luke Clanton is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.

Price history

10¢ current

+8¢
0¢10¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Luke Clanton

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Ludvig Aberg 30¢

Range

1¢-30¢

Family volume

$65K

Identifier

KXPGATOP5-CHSC26-LCLA

May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$235

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$65K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 6¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
6¢1.4K
10¢2.2K
63¢54
74¢100
79¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Luke Clanton finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP5-CHSC26-LCLA

SF Signal
SF Index
5460.80
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10921.6%

IY (No)

134.8%

Adj IY

5461%

CRI

9

Overround

6.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10921.6%
134.8%
Adj IY
5461%
9
Overround
6.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.