SimpleFunctions

Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 5 for Charles Schwab Challenge

Stephan Jaeger is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.

Price history

6¢ current

+2¢
0¢5¢10¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Stephan Jaeger

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Karl Vilips 40¢

Range

2¢-40¢

Family volume

$75K

Identifier

KXPGATOP5-CHSC26-SJAE

May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

6¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$364

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$75K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 3¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
3¢5.3K
26¢1.0K
59¢15
63¢54
69¢20

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP5-CHSC26-SJAE

SF Signal
SF Index
9460.23
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

18920.5%

IY (No)

77.1%

Adj IY

9460%

CRI

16

Overround

6.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

18920.5%
77.1%
Adj IY
9460%
16
Overround
6.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.