SimpleFunctions

Nike Theran to win Charlie Sheehy vs Nike Theran

Nike Theran is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Charlie Sheehy vs Nike Theran Winner.

Price history

20¢ current

+10¢
10¢20¢
May 28, 2026May 29, 2026

Contract brief

If Nike Theran wins the Charlie Sheehy vs Nike Theran boxing match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Nike Theran

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Charlie Sheehy 78¢

Range

18¢-78¢

Family volume

$227

Identifier

KXBOXING-26MAY30SHEEHYTHERAN-THERAN

May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 25m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 25m ago

Bid

18¢

Ask

21¢

Spread

24h volume

$24

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · Charlie Sheehy vs Nike Theran Winner

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$227

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 21¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
18¢318
17¢2.3K
16¢2.3K
15¢1.0K
13¢496
AskSize
21¢1.2K
22¢1.1K
23¢1.0K
24¢100
25¢1.4K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Nike Theran wins the Charlie Sheehy vs Nike Theran boxing match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26MAY30SHEEHYTHERAN-THERAN

SF Signal
SF Index
7425.30
Regime
neutral

Event family

Charlie Sheehy vs Nike Theran Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$227

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Charlie Sheehy 78¢

Current share

10%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

14850.6%
393.6%
Adj IY
7425%
6

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.