Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?
This contract is priced at 9¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 15¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$12K
Best sibling
Chris Oladokun 35¢
Ticker
0x5d198361…218f
Market snapshot
Joe Flacco in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?. The displayed quote is 9¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $98. In the Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #5 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Joe Flacco
Family rank
#5 of 5
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
9¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Sep 10, 2026
Reported volume
$98
Family context
5 outcomes · Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026?
Quote range
11¢-57¢
Family leader
Patrick Mahomes 57¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0x5d198361dcd3318f0fbe0109e0add681e03f9a56c3d486682b4c809ba427218f. Family volume: $12K.
Price history
9¢ current
−29¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 15¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season. If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback. This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 10, 2026
Identifier
0x5d198361…218f
Event family
Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Patrick Mahomes 57¢
Current share
1%
Joe Flacco
polymarket · 0x5d198361dcd3318f0fbe0109e0add681e03f9a56c3d486682b4c809ba427218f
Chris Oladokun
polymarket · 0xebe11326f7f6585db19f5d870b8a056203a4b3221530130e415fcbcec9955e7c
Gardner Minshew
polymarket · 0x70d046e43f524fae5dd0e8e06251357294bb245f9b22a12217fd48f84324250a
Patrick Mahomes
polymarket · 0x6b048a591e4160074f70b38980897936797bc228cf5ff24e655b1b9a40f6ff2e
Justin Fields
polymarket · 0x78006e4c20382e96d784e518ea2feeeb6c7b9cb42aa80d332d9520f3ead32371
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Why "Thesis Confidence" Is Not the Same as Market Price
A 70% subjective conviction is not the same number as a 70-cent price. The market price aggregates every active trader weighted by capital. The gap is only edge under specific conditions.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 9% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.