SimpleFunctions
PolymarketSep 10, 2026124 days left

Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?

This contract is priced at 56¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 31¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 56¢ spread.

Implied probability

56¢
$95 volume
$106 liquidity
1% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$12K

Best sibling

Chris Oladokun 32¢

Ticker

0x6b048a59…ff2e

Market snapshot

Patrick Mahomes in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?. The displayed quote is 56¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $95. In the Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026? family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Patrick Mahomes

Family rank

#1 of 5

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

56¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Sep 10, 2026

Reported volume

$95

Family context

5 outcomes · Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026?

Quote range

26¢-56¢

Family leader

Patrick Mahomes 56¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: 0x6b048a591e4160074f70b38980897936797bc228cf5ff24e655b1b9a40f6ff2e. Family volume: $12K.

Price history

56¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 16, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 87¢

Polymarket
56¢ spread
BidSize
31¢100
23¢25
22¢5
21¢30
20¢52
19¢40
18¢40
17¢30
AskSize
87¢10
88¢115
89¢30
90¢8
91¢11
98¢5
99¢122

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is the starting quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2026-2027 NFL season. If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback. This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

0x6b048a59…ff2e

Event family

Chiefs Week 1 starting QB in 2026.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$12K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Patrick Mahomes 56¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

213.8%

IY (No)

407.6%

Adj IY

35%

CRI

1

RV

909%

VR

6.25

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

213.8%
407.6%
Adj IY
35%
1
RV
909%
VR
6.25
IAR
7.0/h
Overround
1.0%
LAS
0.91

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