SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026236 days left

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

This contract is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 12¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

13¢
$42K volume
$71K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$42K

Best sibling

Ticker

0x9c9ec784…1597

Market snapshot

Clavicular sentenced to prison in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Clavicular sentenced to prison?. The displayed quote is 13¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $11K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Clavicular sentenced to prison

Family rank

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

13¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$11K

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Venue identifier: 0x9c9ec7845f2102afe45b0987351d9fc146e38ed523b55323c82bda4439451597. Family volume: $42K.

Price history

13¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 16, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 13¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
12¢5.4K
11¢34K
10¢356K
9¢2.2K
8¢357
7¢1.4K
6¢92
5¢7
AskSize
13¢12K
14¢19K
15¢651
16¢150
18¢50
19¢114
20¢11
21¢210

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x9c9ec784…1597

Event family

Clavicular sentenced to prison.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$42K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Clavicular sentenced to prison 13¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1036.3%
23.1%
Adj IY
478%
7
LAS
0.08

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogtech

AI Regulation 2026: Global Policy Scenarios and How to Trade Them on Prediction Markets

Deep‑dive guide to AI regulation 2026 global policy prediction markets: EU AI Act enforcement, US executive orders and potential federal law, China’s AI regime, safety standards (NIST, ISO 42001, G7, UK AI Safety Institute), tech‑company compliance, open‑source debates, and how to trade key regulatory scenarios.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index