Critical Discord Incident by May 31
Critical Discord Incident by May 31 is priced at 15¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 12¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
15¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Outcome
Critical Discord Incident by May 31
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$19K
Identifier
0x534416d0...51d0
May 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$125
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$19K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical. Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting. If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x534416d0…51d0
Event family
Critical Discord Incident by May 31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$19K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Critical Discord Incident by May 31 15¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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