Tie to win Cruzeiro vs Barcelona
Tie is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Cruzeiro vs Barcelona Winner.
Price history
15¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the Cruzeiro vs Barcelona professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Cruzeiro 77¢
Range
6¢-77¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXCONMEBOLLIBGAME-26MAY28CRUBSC-TIE
May 27, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$730
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Cruzeiro vs Barcelona Winner
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the Cruzeiro vs Barcelona professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXCONMEBOLLIBGAME-26MAY28CRUBSC-TIE
Event family
Cruzeiro vs Barcelona Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Cruzeiro 77¢
Current share
7%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.