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Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting? | SimpleFunctions
Kalshi
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?
Cut 25bps
⚡
Arbitrage Opportunity Detected
Price Spread
74.0%
This Market
26.0%
Polymarket
100.0%
Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price
Kalshi
active
26.0%
Yes
Yes
26.0%
No
74.0%
24h Volume
$0
Total Volume
$8
Open Interest
$8
Trade on Kalshi
26.0%
+52.94%
Yes
High
35.0%
Low
17.0%
Open
17.0%
1D
1W
1M
3M
6M
1Y
ALL
Kalshi
•
18 data points
Live
Price Momentum
1H
+8.0%
24H
+8.0%
7D
+8.0%
Order Book
kalshi
Best Bid
18¢
|
Best Ask
24¢
Spread
6¢
Size
Price
Total
100
18¢
100
Size
Price
Total
100
24¢
100
Bid Depth:
100
Ask Depth:
100
2 levels
Recent Trades
kalshi
Time
Side
Price
Size
Trader
Just now
BUY
26¢
$3
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
21¢
$3
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
33¢
$2
Anonymous
Buys:
3
Sells:
0
3 trades
Time to Resolution
421 days
Liquidity Score
1/5
Low
Market Details
Venue
Kalshi
Status
active
Outcome Type
binary
Last Updated
3/3/2026, 2:57:42 AM
Market ID
KXFEDDECISION-27JAN-C25
⚡
Cross-Platform Match
Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.
Cross-Platform Comparison
Cross-Platform Prices
Outcome: “No”
Venue
Price
Volume
Action
Kalshi
Current
26.0%
$8
Trade
Polymarket
0.0%
$216,455,743
Trade
Same Market on Other Platforms
Polymarket
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
100%
No
$216,455,743 volume
View →
Polymarket
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
100%
Yes
$106,767,096 volume
View →
Polymarket
100.0%
$106,767,096
Trade