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Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? | SimpleFunctions
Kalshi
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting?
Cut 25bps
⚡
Arbitrage Opportunity Detected
Price Spread
68.0%
This Market
32.0%
Polymarket
100.0%
Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price
Kalshi
active
32.0%
Yes
Yes
32.0%
No
68.0%
24h Volume
$4,078
Total Volume
$38,480
Open Interest
$29,317
Trade on Kalshi
32.0%
-36.00%
Yes
High
63.0%
Low
32.0%
Open
50.0%
1D
1W
1M
3M
6M
1Y
ALL
Kalshi
•
30 data points
Live
Price Momentum
1H
0.0%
24H
-15.0%
7D
-20.0%
Order Book
kalshi
Best Bid
30¢
|
Best Ask
32¢
Spread
2¢
Size
Price
Total
100
30¢
100
Size
Price
Total
100
32¢
100
Bid Depth:
100
Ask Depth:
100
2 levels
Recent Trades
kalshi
Time
Side
Price
Size
Trader
Just now
SELL
32¢
$8
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
32¢
$50
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
33¢
$10
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
33¢
$15
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
32¢
$50
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
33¢
$20
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
37¢
$13
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
34¢
$1
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
37¢
$1
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
36¢
$1
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
35¢
$83
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
35¢
$2
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
35¢
$13
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
33¢
$85
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
38¢
$5
Anonymous
Buys:
7
Sells:
8
15 trades
Time to Resolution
196 days
Liquidity Score
3/5
Medium
Market Details
Venue
Kalshi
Status
active
Outcome Type
binary
Last Updated
3/4/2026, 8:13:59 AM
Market ID
KXFEDDECISION-26JUN-C25
⚡
Cross-Platform Match
Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.
Cross-Platform Comparison
Cross-Platform Prices
Outcome: “No”
Venue
Price
Volume
Action
Kalshi
Current
32.0%
$38,480
Trade
Polymarket
0.0%
$1,401,490
Trade
Same Market on Other Platforms
Polymarket
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
100%
No
$1,401,490 volume
View →
Polymarket
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
100%
No
$216,455,743 volume
View →
Polymarket
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after February 2026 meeting?
100%
No
Polymarket
0.0%
$216,455,743
Trade
Polymarket
0.0%
$88,577
Trade
Polymarket
100.0%
$106,767,096
Trade
Polymarket
86.5%
$803,379
Trade
$88,577 volume
View →
Polymarket
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
100%
Yes
$106,767,096 volume
View →
Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
87%
Yes
$803,379 volume
View →