SimpleFunctions

Lee Jin-sook to win Daegu Mayoral Election

Lee Jin-sook is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 12 inside Daegu Mayoral Election Winner.

Price history

0¢ current

0¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Outcome

Lee Jin-sook

Rank

#3 of 12

Leader

Choo Kyung-ho 83¢

Range

0¢-83¢

Family volume

$1.6M

Identifier

0x35bc22c2...56ba

May 28, 2026, 1:12 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 1:12 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#3 of 12

12 outcomes · Daegu Mayoral Election Winner

Closes

Jun 3, 2026

Family volume

$1.6M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
0¢93
0¢878
2¢380
2¢30
3¢682
100¢306
100¢193
100¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

The Daegu mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 3, 2026

Identifier

0x35bc22c2…56ba

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Daegu Mayoral Election Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1.6M

Outcomes

12

Highest price

Choo Kyung-ho 83¢

Current share

3%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.