Huh Tae-jung to win Daejeon Mayoral Election
Huh Tae-jung is priced at 93¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 90¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Daejeon Mayoral Election Winner.
Price history
93¢ current
Contract brief
The Daejeon mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Outcome
Huh Tae-jung
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Huh Tae-jung 93¢
Range
8¢-93¢
Family volume
$18K
Identifier
0xcc14e407...b5b2
May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
90¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$34
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Daejeon Mayoral Election Winner
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
Family volume
$18K
Orderbook snapshot
90 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The Daejeon mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 3, 2026
Identifier
0xcc14e407…b5b2
Event family
Daejeon Mayoral Election Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$18K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Huh Tae-jung 93¢
Current share
40%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Odds pages
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 93% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.