Kalshi

Will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida this year?

If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread15.0%

This Market

1.0%

Polymarket

16.0%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshifinalized

1.0%

Yes

Yes1.0%

No99.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$23,570

Open Interest

$10,987

Trade on Kalshi

1.0%-50.00%

Yes

High

2.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

2.0%

Kalshi•15 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY1¢$13Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$20Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$980Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$49Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$4Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$15Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$41Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$136Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$8Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$300Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$23Anonymous

Buys: 7Sells: 8

15 trades

Time to Resolution

Expired

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/16/2026, 11:13:41 PM

Market ID

KXSTARSHIPFL-26JAN01

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	1.0%	$23,570	Trade
Polymarket	16.0%	$945	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

84%

$945 volumeView →