Kalshi

Will the US fall below 7.50 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

If the United States falls below 7.50 in any year between 2025 and 2028 on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread20.0%

This Market

61.0%

Polymarket

41.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

61.0%

Yes

Yes61.0%

No39.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$6,664

Open Interest

$3,108

Trade on Kalshi

61.0%+38.64%

Yes

High

61.0%

Low

43.0%

Open

44.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

+3.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

62¢

Best Ask

67¢

Spread

5¢

SizePriceTotal

11.9M62¢11.9M

SizePriceTotal

11.9M67¢11.9M

Bid Depth: 11.9MAsk Depth: 11.9M

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL61¢$6Anonymous

Just nowSELL61¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY60¢$7Anonymous

Just nowBUY59¢$20Anonymous

Just nowBUY60¢$7Anonymous

Just nowBUY60¢$8Anonymous

Just nowBUY60¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY59¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY59¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY58¢$7Anonymous

Just nowBUY59¢$9Anonymous

Just nowBUY57¢$97Anonymous

Just nowBUY58¢$8Anonymous

Just nowBUY61¢$34Anonymous

Buys: 13Sells: 2

15 trades

Time to Resolution

1217 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/15/2026, 8:50:03 PM

Market ID

KXDEMOCRACYUS-28-7.50

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	61.0%	$6,664	Trade
Polymarket	41.0%	—	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?

59%

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