Kalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2026 meeting?

Hike 0bps

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread94.9%

This Market

96.0%

Polymarket

1.1%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

96.0%

Yes

Yes96.0%

No4.0%

24h Volume

$643,791

Total Volume

$5,301,469

Open Interest

$3,752,057

Trade on Kalshi

96.0%+26.32%

Yes

High

96.0%

Low

75.0%

Open

76.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+2.0%

24H

+2.0%

+4.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

94¢

Best Ask

95¢

Spread

1¢

SizePriceTotal

388.3M94¢388.3M

SizePriceTotal

388.3M95¢388.3M

Bid Depth: 388.3MAsk Depth: 388.3M

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL94¢$134Anonymous

Just nowBUY95¢$103Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$62Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY95¢$11Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$25Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY95¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY95¢$10Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$500Anonymous

Just nowBUY95¢$42Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$100Anonymous

Just nowBUY95¢$1.0KAnonymous

Just nowBUY95¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY95¢$157Anonymous

Buys: 8Sells: 7

15 trades

Time to Resolution

103 days

Liquidity Score

5/5

High

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/14/2026, 3:59:03 AM

Market ID

KXFEDDECISION-26JAN-H0

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 3 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	96.0%	$5,301,469	Trade
Polymarket	99.2%	$7,429	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

73%

$245,696 volumeView →

Polymarket

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?

99%