Kalshi

Will Chris Murphy win the the next Senate Democratic Leader election?

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread67.5%

This Market

6.0%

Polymarket

73.5%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshiactive

6.0%

Yes

Yes6.0%

No94.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$6,390

Open Interest

$5,990

Trade on Kalshi

6.0%+0.00%

Yes

High

6.0%

Low

4.0%

Open

6.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+2.0%

24H

+2.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

4¢

Best Ask

5¢

Spread

1¢

SizePriceTotal

935.9K4¢935.9K

SizePriceTotal

935.9K5¢935.9K

Bid Depth: 935.9KAsk Depth: 935.9K

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL4¢$2.0KAnonymous

Just nowBUY5¢$35Anonymous

Just nowSELL5¢$1.0KAnonymous

Just nowSELL5¢$36Anonymous

Just nowSELL5¢$2.5KAnonymous

Just nowSELL5¢$2.0KAnonymous

Just nowSELL5¢$2.5KAnonymous

Just nowSELL5¢$5.0KAnonymous

Just nowBUY6¢$390Anonymous

Just nowSELL6¢$4.0KAnonymous

Just nowSELL6¢$600Anonymous

Just nowSELL6¢$1.0KAnonymous

Just nowBUY5¢$200Anonymous

Just nowSELL64¢$200Anonymous

Buys: 3Sells: 12

15 trades

Time to Resolution

1080 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated12/22/2025, 5:48:01 AM

Market ID

KXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-CMUR

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	6.0%	$6,390	Trade
Polymarket	15.0%	$177	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Chris Swanson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?

85%

$177 volumeView →

Polymarket

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

74%

Yes

$287 volumeView →