Kalshi

What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 1000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshiactive

98.0%

Yes

Yes98.0%

No2.0%

24h Volume

$6,007

Total Volume

$59,442

Open Interest

$22,471

Trade on Kalshi

98.0%+3.16%

Yes

High

98.0%

Low

94.0%

Open

95.0%

Kalshi•28 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

+2.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

97¢

Best Ask

98¢

Spread

1¢

SizePriceTotal

10097¢100

SizePriceTotal

10098¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY98¢$6.0KAnonymous

Just nowSELL96¢$1.4KAnonymous

Just nowSELL96¢$50Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$20Anonymous

Just nowSELL96¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$34Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY98¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY98¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$10Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$92Anonymous

Just nowSELL95¢$2Anonymous

Just nowSELL95¢$48Anonymous

Buys: 4Sells: 11

15 trades

Time to Resolution

1035 days

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/2/2026, 7:27:54 PM

Market ID

KXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-1000

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	98.0%	$59,442	Trade
Polymarket	100.0%	$72,146	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

100%

Yes

$179,854 volumeView →