Kalshi

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Montana

:: Current incumbent: Greg Gianforte

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread69.5%

This Market

85.0%

Polymarket

15.5%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

85.0%

Yes

Yes85.0%

No15.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$3,284

Open Interest

$1,302

Trade on Kalshi

85.0%+7.59%

Yes

High

86.0%

Low

79.0%

Open

79.0%

Kalshi•16 data points

Live

Price Momentum

-1.0%

24H

-1.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

86¢

Best Ask

88¢

Spread

2¢

SizePriceTotal

10086¢100

SizePriceTotal

10088¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY85¢$200Anonymous

Just nowSELL79¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY84¢$6Anonymous

Just nowBUY84¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY84¢$20Anonymous

Just nowBUY84¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL79¢$2Anonymous

Just nowSELL79¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY84¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL79¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY84¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL79¢$2Anonymous

Buys: 9Sells: 6

15 trades

Time to Resolution

1346 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/2/2026, 7:26:27 AM

Market ID

GOVPARTYMT-28-R

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	85.0%	$3,284	Trade
Polymarket	71.5%	$66	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?

85%

$56 volumeView →