Kalshi

Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Feb 28, 2026?

By Feb 28, 2026

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread21.9%

This Market

24.0%

Polymarket

2.1%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

24.0%

Yes

Yes24.0%

No76.0%

24h Volume

$499

Total Volume

$40,810

Open Interest

$17,857

Trade on Kalshi

24.0%-65.71%

Yes

High

86.0%

Low

10.0%

Open

70.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

+4.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

23¢

Best Ask

24¢

Spread

1¢

SizePriceTotal

881.4K23¢881.4K

SizePriceTotal

881.4K24¢881.4K

Bid Depth: 881.4KAsk Depth: 881.4K

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY24¢$50Anonymous

Just nowBUY24¢$7Anonymous

Just nowBUY24¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY24¢$59Anonymous

Just nowBUY24¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY25¢$41Anonymous

Just nowBUY25¢$102Anonymous

Just nowBUY25¢$88Anonymous

Just nowSELL23¢$14Anonymous

Just nowSELL22¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL22¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL23¢$29Anonymous

Just nowBUY25¢$38Anonymous

Just nowSELL24¢$20Anonymous

Buys: 10Sells: 5

15 trades

Time to Resolution

50 days

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/16/2026, 6:27:01 PM

Market ID

KXSPACEXSTARSHIP-12-26FEB28

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	24.0%	$40,810	Trade
Polymarket	5.3%	$673	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

95%

$673 volumeView →

Polymarket

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?

98%

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