Elon Musk’s net worth at least $690b on May 31
690b+ is priced at 89¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 84¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 10 inside Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?.
Price history
89¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Outcome
690b+
Rank
#1 of 10
Leader
690b+ 88¢
Range
0¢-88¢
Family volume
$29K
Identifier
0x62d15abd...7e93
May 27, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
84¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$7
Family rank
#1 of 10
10 outcomes · Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$29K
Orderbook snapshot
84 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for May 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x62d15abd…7e93
Event family
Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$29K
Outcomes
10
Highest price
690b+ 88¢
Current share
21%
690b+
polymarket · 0x62d15abd1060e2059eb15d7f15b03d0e86a6386c65ad82532e0dd3562f057e93
670-680b
polymarket · 0xf21d2e1f6f449178c45aa154f1d199c8a11eecfa83cf94481e17bd3a64166901
680-690b
polymarket · 0xaf1b0fc6128f9a36d6315d37907c9c3884ff0780b1f34abe38010e223c31d9ae
660-670b
polymarket · 0x991851e5ea9d24731849ec3cb0283d126b912eb12ba555f6f950c9a69cfc022e
<610b
polymarket · 0x48a67c626ee2b60384e35e4122626569d7cd1827237c1eb5f240e5ccb157187c
640-650b
polymarket · 0xe824da460a6a3e96fd31aa3bd9b83128168e9addbdc51f09a5693b2f1eb37a06
650-660b
polymarket · 0x28692f33e19d6334aad9a47cce8ede3fce7ca844aeb73df613e0fb48aeb081bb
620-630b
polymarket · 0x8cf98d880f2acf6f4715d0773fa3c15ba144f5bdb84a56ba7c6f34d522a07ea7
630-640b
polymarket · 0x9aa1adec713b2635822375456a73d0459b2a9dd99c28f78eaf8b38a7558876ce
610-620b
polymarket · 0x736af5424e5ea7c1e85e54b213a612cc1d4c7957341839c3bdf68ce69ef6ff7c
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.