Kalshi

Will Texas have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States Senate elections?

If Texas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread10.0%

This Market

10.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

10.0%

Yes

Yes10.0%

No90.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$2,069

Open Interest

$2,032

Trade on Kalshi

10.0%+25.00%

Yes

High

12.0%

Low

8.0%

Open

8.0%

Kalshi•21 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+2.0%

24H

+2.0%

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

8¢

Best Ask

9¢

Spread

1¢

SizePriceTotal

1008¢100

SizePriceTotal

1009¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY10¢$23Anonymous

Just nowBUY10¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY10¢$18Anonymous

Just nowBUY10¢$28Anonymous

Just nowBUY10¢$18Anonymous

Just nowBUY9¢$95Anonymous

Just nowBUY9¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY11¢$42Anonymous

Just nowBUY11¢$45Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$7Anonymous

Just nowSELL8¢$4Anonymous

Just nowSELL8¢$8Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$14Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$39Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$7Anonymous

Buys: 13Sells: 2

15 trades

Time to Resolution

314 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/2/2026, 6:42:29 AM

Market ID

KXCLOSESTSENATE-27JAN03-TX

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Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	10.0%	$2,069	Trade
Polymarket	0.0%	$3,718	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the New Jersey Governor election have the largest Democratic margin of victory?

100%

$3,718 volumeView →