Kalshi

Wil Micah Lasher be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?

If Micah Lasher wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread12.0%

This Market

62.0%

Polymarket

50.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

62.0%

Yes

Yes62.0%

No38.0%

24h Volume

$1,282

Total Volume

$15,491

Open Interest

$9,532

Trade on Kalshi

62.0%+6.90%

Yes

High

67.0%

Low

48.0%

Open

58.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

-5.0%

24H

-5.0%

+12.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

56¢

Best Ask

63¢

Spread

7¢

SizePriceTotal

839.1K56¢839.1K

SizePriceTotal

839.1K63¢839.1K

Bid Depth: 839.1KAsk Depth: 839.1K

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY62¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL60¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL59¢$45Anonymous

Just nowSELL58¢$102Anonymous

Just nowSELL58¢$198Anonymous

Just nowSELL58¢$596Anonymous

Just nowSELL59¢$32Anonymous

Just nowBUY67¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY67¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY67¢$7Anonymous

Just nowBUY65¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY66¢$284Anonymous

Just nowBUY65¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY66¢$8Anonymous

Buys: 9Sells: 6

15 trades

Time to Resolution

292 days

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/15/2026, 11:16:00 PM

Market ID

KXNY12D-26-MLAS

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	62.0%	$15,491	Trade
Polymarket	50.0%	$0	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Wil Micah Lasher be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Momentum

Order Book

Recent Trades

Market Details

Cross-Platform Match

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Same Market on Other Platforms

Will Candidate H be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Will Candidate O be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?

Wil Micah Lasher be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Momentum

Order Book

Recent Trades

Market Details

Cross-Platform Match

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Same Market on Other Platforms

Will Candidate H be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

Will Candidate O be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?

Will Candidate N be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey?

Will Candidate I be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Arkansas?