SimpleFunctions

Flamengo to win Flamengo vs Coritiba

Flamengo is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 71¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Flamengo vs Coritiba Winner.

Price history

73¢ current

+67¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 23, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Flamengo wins the Flamengo vs Coritiba professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Flamengo

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Flamengo 71¢

Range

11¢-71¢

Family volume

$310

Identifier

KXBRASILEIROGAME-26MAY30FLACFC-FLA

May 27, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

73¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

71¢

Ask

72¢

Spread

24h volume

$58

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Flamengo vs Coritiba Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$310

Orderbook snapshot

71 / 72¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
71¢664
69¢2.4K
68¢3
67¢2.4K
66¢3
AskSize
72¢12
73¢3.3K
74¢1.5K
75¢4.0K
76¢188

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Flamengo wins the Flamengo vs Coritiba professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXBRASILEIROGAME-26MAY30FLACFC-FLA

SF Signal
SF Index
4958.15
Regime
neutral

Event family

Flamengo vs Coritiba Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$310

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Flamengo 71¢

Current share

19%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

851.2%

IY (No)

5102.0%

Adj IY

4958%

CRI

2

RV

9447%

VR

7.28

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

851.2%
5102.0%
Adj IY
4958%
2
RV
9447%
VR
7.28
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.03

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.