Montreal at Carolina Winner for Game 5
MTL Canadiens is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Game 5: Montreal at Carolina Winner.
Price history
29¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If MTL Canadiens wins the Game 5: Montreal at Carolina professional hockey game scheduled for May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
MTL Canadiens
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
CAR Hurricanes 71¢
Range
28¢-71¢
Family volume
$27K
Identifier
KXNHLGAME-26MAY29MTLCAR-MTL
May 28, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$15K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Game 5: Montreal at Carolina Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$27K
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If MTL Canadiens wins the Game 5: Montreal at Carolina professional hockey game scheduled for May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXNHLGAME-26MAY29MTLCAR-MTL
Event family
Game 5: Montreal at Carolina Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$27K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
CAR Hurricanes 71¢
Current share
55%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.