SimpleFunctions

Corinthians to win Gremio vs Corinthians

Corinthians is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Gremio vs Corinthians Winner.

Price history

31¢ current

+28¢
0¢25¢
May 23, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Corinthians wins the Gremio vs Corinthians professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Corinthians

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Gremio 36¢

Range

28¢-36¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXBRASILEIROGAME-26MAY30GPACOR-COR

May 27, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

31¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

32¢

Spread

Reported volume

$6

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Gremio vs Corinthians Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 32¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
29¢2.0K
28¢2.4K
27¢1.9K
25¢2
19¢10
AskSize
32¢190
34¢2.3K
35¢1.0K
36¢3.0K
37¢1.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Corinthians wins the Gremio vs Corinthians professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXBRASILEIROGAME-26MAY30GPACOR-COR

SF Signal
SF Index
5083.74
Regime
neutral

Event family

Gremio vs Corinthians Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Gremio 36¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5083.7%

IY (No)

848.1%

Adj IY

5084%

CRI

2

RV

298%

VR

0.40

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5083.7%
848.1%
Adj IY
5084%
2
RV
298%
VR
0.40
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.