Gaimin Gladiators to win IEM Cologne Major 2026
Gaimin Gladiators is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 16 inside IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner.
Price history
0¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
Outcome
Gaimin Gladiators
Rank
#9 of 16
Leader
Vitality 46¢
Range
0¢-46¢
Family volume
$1.2M
Identifier
0xdc412c53...fea4
May 25, 2026, 2:21 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$15K
Family rank
#9 of 16
16 outcomes · IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Family volume
$1.2M
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 21, 2026
Identifier
0xdc412c53…fea4
Event family
IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1.2M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Vitality 46¢
Current share
5%
Vitality
polymarket · 0xdf6e9ed2eaf69707c7a1162a240ca025a02b0a5028dc286c9248769e0044bdf7
Team Spirit
polymarket · 0x10cfe107f46a1f4465e41501bebf20edda4f16ef47b702a4f45cacce90e01d16
Natus Vincere
polymarket · 0x810aabb183a1df47b151a7e6918bf7603c19889055a75d8eddf42f188c876a28
Falcons
polymarket · 0xfc1f0e02955453a09c0e74e473980de7fbee597a8859eadf0c7ec9e8b0237562
FURIA
polymarket · 0xa5c032ea59bef7295facaa3b2eada44ae2509eaff4b45d9896f48290f7f99510
Legacy
polymarket · 0x12c1bfb92391c9a763cff1ab29ff3c09690a1830e717db5547cf8dcd7460460c
FUT
polymarket · 0x67770cc59d2d79be575c87f22bbff9834fb415838bd8aca93b750d7b4c00202d
9z
polymarket · 0xeaf74756ca8340efe356390560030d391719f8febd2930a3c71cf59363aff843
B8
polymarket · 0xb0074c6af8daed8677ce89160dbc7c659625aa31a4584faa7070d418b98044fa
MIBR
polymarket · 0xa2ea44f06f6b7ca3e00cea284d6e9294ac3d0331fd8817a5ff82989a5ae2291d
HEROIC
polymarket · 0x1d6a4514ffe89c4aa8afc2718c36ce95aae0477130cf1a6d547fcae9a4dfa18b
TYLOO
polymarket · 0xed6cf53c75f8a1967e307cd568093a46d93c7045c2f2842c08d7e4c566e4ff28
BetBoom
polymarket · 0x1b6eab50dbd311232b55f08c226a8b713a8571adb1a72494ee2fe12356cbd00a
Team Liquid
polymarket · 0x18b175a7f6faa5dd8942d03df7ebf3b3c244357af7bbc0f70f363311bc3b9028
M80
polymarket · 0x824c710d20c3f83c4078e6c834d659489233e3fb8772d215071ee3f0ac8f4d34
Gaimin Gladiators
polymarket · 0xdc412c53ae19e5571c646fea4957dccd5d771ea743c8d4ab5bbb69332273fea4
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.