SimpleFunctions

Yashasvi Jaiswal to win IPL: Orange Cap

Yashasvi Jaiswal is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside IPL: Orange Cap Winner.

Price history

0¢ current

0¢25¢50¢
May 24, 2026May 29, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the IPL. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher strike rate during the 2026 IPL season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from IPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Yashasvi Jaiswal

Rank

#4 of 5

Leader

Shubman Gill 39¢

Range

0¢-39¢

Family volume

$33K

Identifier

0x64375135...6b98

May 29, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 29, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$5

Family rank

#4 of 5

5 outcomes · IPL: Orange Cap Winner

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$33K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
0¢329K
10¢102
40¢10
60¢220
100¢156
100¢100
100¢439
100¢107

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 IPL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the IPL. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher strike rate during the 2026 IPL season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 IPL season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from IPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

0x64375135…6b98

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.