Tie to win IR Iran vs Gambia
Tie is priced at 25¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside IR Iran vs Gambia Winner.
Price history
25¢ current
+21¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the IR Iran vs Gambia professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
IR Iran 65¢
Range
9¢-65¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXINTLFRIENDLYGAME-26MAY29IRIGAM-TIE
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
28¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · IR Iran vs Gambia Winner
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 39¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the IR Iran vs Gambia professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXINTLFRIENDLYGAME-26MAY29IRIGAM-TIE
Event family
IR Iran vs Gambia Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
IR Iran 65¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.