SimpleFunctions

Juergen Uldedaj to win Juergen Uldedaj vs Muhsin Cason

Juergen Uldedaj is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 38¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 44¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Juergen Uldedaj vs Muhsin Cason Winner.

Price history

76¢ current

+73¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 23, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Juergen Uldedaj wins the Juergen Uldedaj vs Muhsin Cason boxing match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Juergen Uldedaj

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Juergen Uldedaj 32¢

Range

13¢-32¢

Family volume

$45

Identifier

KXBOXING-26MAY30ULDEDACASON-ULDEDA

May 24, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 26m ago

Implied probability

76¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 26m ago

Bid

38¢

Ask

82¢

Spread

44¢

24h volume

$25

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Juergen Uldedaj vs Muhsin Cason Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$45

Orderbook snapshot

38 / 82¢

Kalshi
44¢ spread
BidSize
38¢501
25¢1.1K
18¢10
AskSize
82¢50
83¢200
94¢1.0K
95¢500
97¢30

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Juergen Uldedaj wins the Juergen Uldedaj vs Muhsin Cason boxing match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26MAY30ULDEDACASON-ULDEDA

SF Signal
SF Index
5195.79
Regime
neutral

Event family

Juergen Uldedaj vs Muhsin Cason Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$45

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Juergen Uldedaj 32¢

Current share

56%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5195.8%

IY (No)

641.4%

Adj IY

5196%

CRI

3

RV

12148%

VR

6.50

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5195.8%
641.4%
Adj IY
5196%
3
RV
12148%
VR
6.50
IAR
0.9/h

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.