SimpleFunctions
PolymarketMay 10, 20261 days left

Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-05-10?

This contract is priced at 49¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 17¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 63¢ spread.

Implied probability

49¢
$2 volume
$2K liquidity
39% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$5

Best sibling

Kōchi United SC 36¢

Ticker

0x8620dc36…b397

Market snapshot

Kamatamare Sanuki in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-05-10?. The displayed quote is 49¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2. In the Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Kōchi United SC family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Kamatamare Sanuki

Family rank

#1 of 3

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

49¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 10, 2026

Reported volume

$2

Family context

3 outcomes · Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Kōchi United SC

Quote range

34¢-49¢

Family leader

Kamatamare Sanuki 49¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: 0x8620dc36aa12addb4a16f72de30ab24d372dbf7ddacc6368450837ef9e70b397. Family volume: $5.

Price history

49¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 5, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 80¢

Polymarket
63¢ spread
BidSize
17¢69
11¢100
10¢619
9¢556
8¢1.2K
7¢2.0K
6¢2.5K
5¢154
AskSize
80¢69
84¢56
85¢141
86¢79
87¢199
88¢417
89¢694
90¢616

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If Kamatamare Sanuki wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 10, 2026

Identifier

0x8620dc36…b397

Event family

Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Kōchi United SC.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$5

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Kamatamare Sanuki 49¢

Current share

39%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

0.53

IAR

1.2/h

Overround

0.2%

LAS

1.27

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
0.53
IAR
1.2/h
Overround
0.2%
LAS
1.27

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Conceptmethodology

Liquidity Migration Across Resolution: Where the Money Goes When a Market Closes

When a flagship prediction market closes, the capital that was in it migrates to next-period siblings, adjacent categories, or off the venue entirely. Three migration patterns and the receiving-market opportunity.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index