Kashima to win Kobe vs Kashima
Kashima is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Kobe vs Kashima Winner.
Price history
31¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Kashima wins the Kobe vs Kashima professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kashima
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Kobe 40¢
Range
28¢-40¢
Family volume
$173
Identifier
KXJLEAGUEGAME-26MAY30VIKKAS-KAS
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$166
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Kobe vs Kashima Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$173
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 30¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kashima wins the Kobe vs Kashima professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXJLEAGUEGAME-26MAY30VIKKAS-KAS
Event family
Kobe vs Kashima Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$173
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Kobe 40¢
Current share
96%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.