SimpleFunctions

Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026

Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026 is priced at 28¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

28¢ current

30¢40¢
May 17, 2026May 21, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lalit Modi officially announces the launch of a new mixed martial arts league by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official qualifying public announcement during 2026 will count for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the new league launches. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lalit Modi; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome

Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

0x84b7dd95...3309

May 25, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

13¢

Ask

43¢

Spread

30¢

Reported volume

$4K

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 43¢

Polymarket
30¢ spread
BidSize
13¢493
5¢20
4¢10
AskSize
43¢45
44¢5
67¢10
68¢95
69¢16
70¢102
71¢187
76¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lalit Modi officially announces the launch of a new mixed martial arts league by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official qualifying public announcement during 2026 will count for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the new league launches. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lalit Modi; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

0x84b7dd95…3309

SF Signal
SF Index
212.41
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at , +19¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026 28¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

424.8%
64.2%
Adj IY
212%
3

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.