Tesla · Largest Company end of May
Tesla is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 8 inside Largest Company end of May?.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
Tesla
Rank
#2 of 8
Leader
NVIDIA 99¢
Range
0¢-99¢
Family volume
$8.8M
Identifier
0xdd1b321a...5489
May 26, 2026, 12:36 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$86K
Family rank
#2 of 8
8 outcomes · Largest Company end of May?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$8.8M
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0xdd1b321a…5489
Event family
Largest Company end of May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8.8M
Outcomes
8
Highest price
NVIDIA 99¢
Current share
18%
NVIDIA
polymarket · 0xd4cb184e5dc458f3b03e6da54c87f7272e478bffe30c2d8157c6df8e2eb8c985
Tesla
polymarket · 0xdd1b321ae525705452664fe7e694c6133bee8be380f7134319c1721d39b75489
Broadcom
polymarket · 0x6a08c3b3240864e5bd84693641614bb18adccb5d3878620b867c250193f3c92e
Amazon
polymarket · 0x3447ef42f1795107933976bb33ee030cd83d7eac5fc1173a24fb8d47c37dd8cc
Saudi Aramco
polymarket · 0xc04f8df61b2832e90b793e713ced36fed87c5a8a6d907edd4f46fac9ea129134
Apple
polymarket · 0x4fbd02c4ea776cff3138d484b6500277cabb70d644196804d535e9b07e0c7d0f
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x2ae953d78a25c34e5e65824d239e86e3e28ff2f3ef59acfce239004c5308f388
Alphabet
polymarket · 0x1f442120c3ed08229bb519f2d999d02738b22911b7ad7a43b0fb6aa51568f455
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.