SimpleFunctions

FEARX to win LCK 2026 Season

FEARX is priced at 3¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 10 inside LCK 2026 Season Winner.

Price history

3¢ current

47¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 20, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs. If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

FEARX

Rank

#6 of 10

Leader

Gen.G Esports 45¢

Range

0¢-45¢

Family volume

$3.3M

Identifier

0x6fc292fd...16ba

May 27, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$55

Family rank

#6 of 10

10 outcomes · LCK 2026 Season Winner

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$3.3M

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 3¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢91
100¢51
100¢1.0K
3¢104
2¢1.1K
2¢58
2¢560
0¢119K
AskSize
3¢850
3¢200
3¢291
3¢1.0K
3¢10
3¢1.0K
4¢3.0K
4¢21

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs. If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0x6fc292fd…16ba

SF Signal
SF Index
2715.44
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5430.9%

IY (No)

5.2%

Adj IY

2715%

CRI

32

Overround

0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

5430.9%
5.2%
Adj IY
2715%
32
Overround
0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.