Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana is priced at 97¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 94¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
97¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Outcome
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$24K
Identifier
0xf7327ee0...2944
Jun 19, 2026, 9:54 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
94¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$24K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
May 16, 2026
Family volume
$24K
Orderbook snapshot
94 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana. If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 16, 2026
Identifier
0xf7327ee0…2944
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$24K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana 97¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.