SimpleFunctions

Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Tel-Aviv is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 94¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

50¢
Jun 15, 2026Jun 15, 2026

Contract brief

In the upcoming Super League (Israel) game, scheduled for June 16 at 1:50PM ET: If the Maccabi Tel-Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Maccabi Tel-Aviv". If the Hapoel Tel-Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Tel-Aviv". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Outcome

Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0x3f40fc99...a6ea

Jun 15, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 15, 2026, 5:10 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

97¢

Spread

94¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jun 23, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 97¢

Polymarket
94¢ spread
BidSize
100¢22
3¢22
2¢1.5K
AskSize
97¢22
98¢1.5K
99¢22

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

In the upcoming Super League (Israel) game, scheduled for June 16 at 1:50PM ET: If the Maccabi Tel-Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Maccabi Tel-Aviv". If the Hapoel Tel-Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Tel-Aviv". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 23, 2026

Identifier

0x3f40fc99…a6ea

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Tel-Aviv 50¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.