Janet Mills to win Maine Democratic Senate Primary
Janet Mills is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner.
Price history
1¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine. If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Outcome
Janet Mills
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Graham Platner 99¢
Range
0¢-99¢
Family volume
$3.0M
Identifier
0x690d5043...42d5
May 26, 2026, 5:46 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$312
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$3.0M
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine. If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
0x690d5043…42d5
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at —.
Event family
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3.0M
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Graham Platner 99¢
Current share
15%
Graham Platner
polymarket · 0x807a5bd3d52942c2d8b58bf71a583d4aa03a637f3fd9ff7a7c4a1ad818003067
Janet Mills
polymarket · 0x690d504367efdec61936e7dc1c572c1598281f3e91d30d3b6148f3f1f48642d5
Jordan Wood
polymarket · 0x715eb3d786c7d27ff65c28b3122ad0ecb41e3d0ca588dc1e291317a06c1ec47f
Troy Jackson
polymarket · 0x9248190b831a98a8996cbf370e731312e380c59b1969dcd22d6eab6f831d95f4
Jared Golden
polymarket · 0xe766d95249dc636e0f3b9c40be41e60312c11caade2e4c7208cab46109204e5f
Chellie Pingree
polymarket · 0xd33b405694c28eb7ea092d5146085fe9234fffa467b4449b068a11f4762aa527
Dan Kleban
polymarket · 0x3bb5ceb45e186de77b1faaf56abf427c8c6f1a88532e4a0dc0ad9c1ffdac2a39
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.