Tie to win Manta vs Libertad Loja
Tie is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 34¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Manta vs Libertad Loja Winner.
Price history
35¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the Manta vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Manta 36¢
Range
27¢-36¢
Family volume
$114
Identifier
KXECULPGAME-26MAY30MANLIB-TIE
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
34¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$88
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Manta vs Libertad Loja Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$114
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 34¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the Manta vs Libertad Loja professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXECULPGAME-26MAY30MANLIB-TIE
Event family
Manta vs Libertad Loja Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$114
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Manta 36¢
Current share
77%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.