Above $350M · Most expensive auction work sold in 2026?: Above $
Above $350M is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside Most expensive auction work sold in 2026?: Above $.
Price history
27¢ current
+23¢Contract brief
If the highest auction work sale price of the any artwork on Artsy is above $350M in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $350M
Rank
#5 of 8
Leader
Above $150M 98¢
Range
8¢-98¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-350000000
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$451
Family rank
#5 of 8
8 outcomes · Most expensive auction work sold in 2026?: Above $
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the highest auction work sale price of the any artwork on Artsy is above $350M in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-350000000
Event family
Most expensive auction work sold in 2026?: Above $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Above $150M 98¢
Current share
10%
Above $150M
kalshi · KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-150000000
Above $200M
kalshi · KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-200000000
Above $250M
kalshi · KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-250000000
Above $300M
kalshi · KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-300000000
Above $350M
kalshi · KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-350000000
Above $400M
kalshi · KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-400000000
Above $450M
kalshi · KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-450000000
Above $500M
kalshi · KXMOSTEXPENSIVEART-26-500000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.