LCK (South Korea) · MSI 2026 Winning Region
LCK (South Korea) is priced at 70¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 69¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside MSI 2026 Winning Region.
Price history
70¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
Outcome
LCK (South Korea)
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
LCK (South Korea) 70¢
Range
0¢-70¢
Family volume
$374K
Identifier
0x4890e36c...9f9e
Jun 8, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
70¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · MSI 2026 Winning Region
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$374K
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 70¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
0x4890e36c…9f9e
Event family
MSI 2026 Winning Region.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$374K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
LCK (South Korea) 70¢
Current share
22%
LCK (South Korea)
polymarket · 0x4890e36c536eef20111bd617f6479b6b7384ad2ebf16e18a108d989dc0aa9f9e
LPL (China)
polymarket · 0x9f61a4c01f2c8414b54fae93f7bad383593edea835ccd5c1990fa43422be1634
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
polymarket · 0x5b5ba91ea8fde1fd4e8459c5d7a048959c40a3a3c7847ecb3ffb4e82f70c7cb5
LCS (North America)
polymarket · 0x1e5179e2ad483beb64cb089393817b4f4ba77c285a389d8ccdea4cc0b498fa33
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
polymarket · 0xc18e533fa548379e8d50f054f8575db8eaa042f6cd0d0bf90eed125802c1799d
CBLOL (Brazil)
polymarket · 0x264410d63ef2deab303393063f12a8d681d6ce4eb9deabe9d6bd96854a8e55e0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.