Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team
Oklahoma City Thunder is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 5¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 16¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team.
Price history
13¢ current
−37¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the next team Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Giannis Antetokounmpo does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Milwaukee Bucks”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Outcome
Oklahoma City Thunder
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Miami Heat 32¢
Range
1¢-32¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
0x9904d53e...0a80
May 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
16¢
Reported volume
$268
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the next team Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Giannis Antetokounmpo does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Milwaukee Bucks”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
0x9904d53e…0a80
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 7¢, +6¢ versus this page.
Event family
NBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Miami Heat 32¢
Current share
4%
Miami Heat
polymarket · 0x6975562ee20339b873df943986e6b150e84b767e026f7a85c1a28b91a37dfbf0
Atlanta Hawks
polymarket · 0xff2715084bb2cf20d9b88b74ef809c3317b1e99f6c006faee9b83bc85aa0fc99
Milwaukee Bucks
polymarket · 0x99466654a1ef041f6d6b28be01f86d0346e3bbc050b18d57be622b49216bb4d6
Boston Celtics
polymarket · 0x79abf81ba6ed8a3f7180153da64c9d9b8cdee242d38ea19f6588651c850f442c
Los Angeles Lakers
polymarket · 0x10658d98944fd82cad332b842ec14aa93088d6ecb9dea256e889daba440121b8
Oklahoma City Thunder
polymarket · 0x9904d53ea72f415896089ccd5e4ab88c5e4229ef0441e3ae3f7284ec6e290a80
Orlando Magic
polymarket · 0xf812da10b03f88f8ed59107dc3c8cae1f3cf3b7d57d32b8d822bf888da6ec4f3
Golden State Warriors
polymarket · 0xe9f3987539325f978afdf41dfe5285c7b2a8eac2e19b73795efae2da28a52186
New York Knicks
polymarket · 0xaec41a965b775da9b4e05d174da6295a5912d43e2613bec436438ece2eab891a
Portland Trail Blazers
polymarket · 0x9325f47860cc92db60a4d334ea59e8e52eff5edf2b763167111298c15870831a
Toronto Raptors
polymarket · 0x1a2887f858b0e30cb8ba8f4123212d6f14bfe824ab7cb19a75fff32ffbebad3c
Denver Nuggets
polymarket · 0xaf2ded39ea03cc499cbad037297726fcc77ab29ce057b2109b310c9d2d555fb7
Houston Rockets
polymarket · 0xdce7a792233a4d5704fa09624e6a3639bd9c57e7efb258a3eaba891997bd12a1
San Antonio Spurs
polymarket · 0x251f9ce3ec80cd7b783d4e93f8413febe8340bcff2534e820dd4a8c1888f0c10
Minnesota Timberwolves
polymarket · 0x4400911b0962fe95149229b0765aefdb174340b4907aebc4bc4d5b2a674a820b
Indiana Pacers
polymarket · 0x3ddbc8233fc34500e004979877309f23d7c3ca3223e11e63624151aeccb59fea
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.