Alex Caruso · NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Finals MVP
Alex Caruso is priced at 6¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Finals MVP.
Price history
6¢ current
−43¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Western Conference Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Alex Caruso
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 74¢
Range
0¢-74¢
Family volume
$140K
Identifier
0x3e885be6...9703
May 28, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$33K
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Finals MVP
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Family volume
$140K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Western Conference Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 6, 2026
Identifier
0x3e885be6…9703
Event family
NBA Playoffs: Western Conference Finals MVP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$140K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 74¢
Current share
36%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
polymarket · 0x751209175bad31623cf007e485764b087f89b48c85235b55e9ecdaa380445f6c
Victor Wembanyama
polymarket · 0xb083f3b8895b91ff00760854ccbd882163b81de6313994f586035ef8d8ab4852
Alex Caruso
polymarket · 0x3e885be68e6de73a97d7bce87ba313cd0f3a1af51fb4f0acf99cbd88fa379703
Chet Holmgren
polymarket · 0xb6bdc59cd706440f5fe1af65295683fa1c5446ea87ea42ecb7c62d4cc29e82c5
Kawhi Leonard
polymarket · 0xe2240b4b52bcabd7a6e9ccc43be4e350265c6b1a9d73dce7c857ddf681d654e2
Anthony Edwards
polymarket · 0x66387705163c55b3b5c77c636695ece76f640e923aab9cb0a97c2ddabb9f70af
Stephon Castle
polymarket · 0x1405a39aa13f203e896ee3da0b4ba06101b338508da9381a64552609870a4885
Deni Avdija
polymarket · 0x43f29eda7db23de1673da908f116bb8bb424ac342da60096367c76fee22fe258
De'Aaron Fox
polymarket · 0xd62948935ddbb45ace1b8e29c73d69775a7063d7c6a0f546601f92e743e25e98
Luka Doncic
polymarket · 0x41615e25ed962a3b0216b597cef2ed03b65815f0652bc3c98fb61d232aec16fe
Bismack Biyombo
polymarket · 0x058fd6945c2e62bdd321756dfdb5c27999be7a2b28015ae29569cf884e3eac78
Devin Booker
polymarket · 0x98cb0b5b34c5620107abd6fb9248046508d8da3b0321d2fbc557577518914ee7
Ajay Mitchell
polymarket · 0x308237f97d398281a26e55bd3af1508a67125108e5fe7fc540f605130fb2a81b
Julius Randle
polymarket · 0x34b675da7f1f3e1d90161ff85612e72ec27e28f79b2beaed59434ad3a6b3ac68
Jalen Williams
polymarket · 0xf5d9a698fe2d6d03b10441acf8cf56a3a3d82ac78b6c6ddefde3fa4c57ba6323
LeBron James
polymarket · 0x24f1f7da72748d9b43accad9b0edd25a176316942e258853d484752629eca0d5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.