Robert Abela · Next Prime Minister of Malta
Robert Abela is priced at 95¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 95¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Next Prime Minister of Malta.
Price history
95¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Robert Abela
Rank
#1 of 6
Leader
Robert Abela 94¢
Range
0¢-94¢
Family volume
$309K
Identifier
0x0f0ecd7f...e815
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
95¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$17K
Family rank
#1 of 6
6 outcomes · Next Prime Minister of Malta
Closes
May 30, 2026
Family volume
$309K
Orderbook snapshot
95 / 95¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Malta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
0x0f0ecd7f…e815
Event family
Next Prime Minister of Malta.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$309K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Robert Abela 94¢
Current share
39%
Robert Abela
polymarket · 0x0f0ecd7fcbdb68dc23ba9af38c5d00cc6839164ad1993d1cb8b235d757bfe815
Alex Borg
polymarket · 0x5f2bfae862bb12a27e27d6179d1f6f7da46803a0a529f664189bad5f8a6625ef
Arnold Cassola
polymarket · 0xcd2297ecca0faf87659968f9aa1c4c7043e14e0c976954b9ac190c4d4630968b
Sandra Gauci
polymarket · 0x3a3eb2d5019685193df54ee5bc335e9c8126558dfa877ae949c6a5a895b01a7b
Paul Salomone
polymarket · 0x04a86abef0f6dd74ab54883fbf8cacaa64c8f2bd5a0bc8e3a5c22467e8fa0afc
Eman Alexander Cross
polymarket · 0x99b920706e0941d4cb3d12e93cecd40a7b54b5bca204aaa3fc6c1837bc52e9d8
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.