OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027 is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 12¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
13¢ current
−39¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$77K
Identifier
0x454005ba...0d25
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$77K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x454005ba…0d25
Event family
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$77K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027 13¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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