Palmeiras to win Palmeiras vs Chapecoense
Palmeiras is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 77¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Winner.
Price history
80¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Palmeiras wins the Palmeiras vs Chapecoense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Palmeiras
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Palmeiras 77¢
Range
6¢-77¢
Family volume
$126
Identifier
KXBRASILEIROGAME-26MAY31PALCHA-PAL
May 28, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
77¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$123
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Winner
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Family volume
$126
Orderbook snapshot
77 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Palmeiras wins the Palmeiras vs Chapecoense professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
Identifier
KXBRASILEIROGAME-26MAY31PALCHA-PAL
Event family
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$126
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Palmeiras 77¢
Current share
98%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 80% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.