PSG to win PSG vs Arsenal
PSG is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside PSG vs Arsenal Winner.
Price history
43¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If PSG wins the PSG vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
PSG
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
PSG 42¢
Range
27¢-42¢
Family volume
$387K
Identifier
KXUCLGAME-26MAY30PSGARS-PSG
May 28, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$321K
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · PSG vs Arsenal Winner
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$387K
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If PSG wins the PSG vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXUCLGAME-26MAY30PSGARS-PSG
Event family
PSG vs Arsenal Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$387K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
PSG 42¢
Current share
83%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 43% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.