Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar) · Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar
Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar) is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar.
Price history
0¢ current
−25¢Contract brief
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Outcome
Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar)
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Republic of Ireland 100¢
Range
0¢-100¢
Family volume
$275K
Identifier
0x8adae985...be41
May 28, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$44K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar
Closes
May 28, 2026
Family volume
$275K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 28, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 28, 2026
Identifier
0x8adae985…be41
Event family
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$275K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Republic of Ireland 100¢
Current share
16%
Republic of Ireland
polymarket · 0x5e089a21727a0489815da27050cafacabf7d8d322a22e0295dd874dc939f6f75
Draw (Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar)
polymarket · 0x8adae985e2fe2a8f8d08f19b0f65acb8c7a9574d69b0b100b59dae83f6ebbe41
Qatar
polymarket · 0xcf694ea1b4e90965e4e14f921485ad7e1d0926c0f29da4562dbc9be32f95b029
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.