SimpleFunctions

Bodoe/Glimt to win Rosenborg vs Bodoe/Glimt

Bodoe/Glimt is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 60¢ bid, 61¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Rosenborg vs Bodoe/Glimt Winner.

Price history

62¢ current

+3¢
55¢60¢65¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Bodoe/Glimt wins the Rosenborg vs Bodoe/Glimt professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bodoe/Glimt

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Bodoe/Glimt 60¢

Range

18¢-60¢

Family volume

$631

Identifier

KXELITESERIENGAME-26MAY29RBKBOG-BOG

May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

62¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

60¢

Ask

61¢

Spread

24h volume

$483

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Rosenborg vs Bodoe/Glimt Winner

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$631

Orderbook snapshot

60 / 61¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
60¢10K
59¢6.3K
58¢333
57¢190
54¢1.7K
AskSize
61¢89
62¢1.3K
63¢372
64¢3.0K
65¢613

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bodoe/Glimt wins the Rosenborg vs Bodoe/Glimt professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXELITESERIENGAME-26MAY29RBKBOG-BOG

SF Signal
SF Index
1833.31
Regime
neutral

Event family

Rosenborg vs Bodoe/Glimt Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$631

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Bodoe/Glimt 60¢

Current share

77%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1629.6%

IY (No)

3666.6%

Adj IY

1833%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1629.6%
3666.6%
Adj IY
1833%
2
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.